Daily Killings in the nation Drop Thirty-Seven Percent In Claudia Sheinbaum, Per Government Statistics

The average number of everyday killings each month in the country has dropped by 37% since President Claudia Sheinbaum assumed power, according to fresh government figures. Nevertheless, public safety analysts have advised that murder numbers might not point to better national security.

Significant Decline in Daily Figures

Officials reported an average of nearly 55 murders a day in November compared with nearly 87 when Claudia Sheinbaum began the leadership in September of last year. This data was provided by the head of the nation's federal safety system, Marcela Figueroa Franco, during the president’s daily news conference on a recent Tuesday.

“The outcome in killings that have been recorded during these past months is very important,” Claudia Sheinbaum stated, explaining that in November the lowest figure of murders were recorded for any November in the past decade.

Recent Background and Government Plan

Violent organized crime internal conflicts, coupled with the government’s highly military efforts to combat the drug gangs, have caused Mexico’s murder rate rise sharply in recent years. The figure reached a record high of 36,773 killings in 2020, per the nation's national statistics office.

That resulted in Mexico a homicide rate more than four times higher than that of the United States. From that point, killings have been on the decline, falling to 33,550 the previous year. The President has attributed her national security approach for an apparently more pronounced drop in killings this year.

At a media briefing in the summer, the Mexican leader said: “We have a strategy, there is tracking of the plan, and we have detailed monitoring municipality by municipality in some cases. The plan is effective. And we have to persist at it each day.”

The central elements of the President's safety strategy encompass:

• Bolstering Mexico’s domestic security force.
• Advancing intelligence and investigative work.
• Increased cooperation between various departments.

Analyst Caution and Statistical Limitations

However, public safety experts warned that relying on murder data to paint a picture of peace was misleading. This is particularly true given the uptick in other criminal activities such as people going missing.

“It would be very good information if this was a decrease, but I think we can’t just look at the murder numbers and think: ‘Oh well, excellent,’” stated Cecilia Farfán-Méndez, an expert on Mexico's organised crime. “I would be tentatively optimistic.”

As reported by the policy research thinktank Mexico Evalúa, homicides overall fell by over 20% in the first 10 months of this year versus the same timeframe the previous year. But, missing persons cases have gone up by 15% and in some states have surged by up to 200%.

“Statistics on murders is not reliable for assessing the reality of insecurity,” stated Armando Vargas, a security expert at Mexico Evalúa. “First, we have law enforcement and investigators who lack the capacity or the desire to accurately identify and categorize corpses. Secondly, organised [criminals] … have the ability to hide violent acts through abductions.”

Vargas noted that relying on month-to-month means of everyday killings was also problematic because it may mask periods when there were particularly high levels of murders.

“Employing the daily average makes spikes of violence less visible,” he concluded.

Arrests and Confiscations as Measures of Progress

Where the administration can highlight the effectiveness of its safety plan is on detentions and confiscations. Almost 40,000 people were detained between last October and November 2025 for high-impact crimes, according to government data. More than 20,000 weapons were seized and 311 tons of narcotics confiscated.

“Trump can't claim President Sheinbaum of doing nothing, because actually she is accomplishing a lot with these thousands of detentions, many thousands of confiscations, and all the operational weakening of criminal groups. It’s highly politically advantageous,” said Vargas.

Ongoing Unrest and Societal Frustration

However in spite of these actions, Mexico continues to be plagued by high violence, with multiple regions in the throes of cartel-fueled bloodshed. Recently there was a high-profile murder of a well-liked mayor in the state of Michoacan, among 10 local leaders murdered in the last year.

Weeks after, many thousands of youth demonstrated in Mexico City and across the country to voice their anger at graft and cartel violence.

“The federal government frames [data] in a way to create a picture of security. Politically it’s extremely potent, socially it’s very questionable,” the analyst said.